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Truth in a Haystack

Source Credibility

Sources

Not all sources are equal — and the same source can be highly reliable for some topics and unreliable for others. This page documents which sources we rely on, what we use each one for, and which sources are routinely cited by people spreading misinformation.

Credible Sources

Primary & verifiable

Reuters & Associated Press (AP)

Wire news services

Credible

We use them for

Breaking events, casualty figures, official statements, on-the-ground reporting, diplomatic developments

We prefer primary sources over them for

Official documents (we link the document directly rather than secondary reporting of it)

The two largest international wire services. Both operate under strict editorial independence standards, employ reporters on the ground in conflict zones, and correct errors publicly. Their raw reporting is source material for most Western newsrooms.

United Nations — Official Data & Field Reports

Intergovernmental organization

Credible with caveats

We use them for

Humanitarian conditions (OCHA), refugee data (UNHCR), health statistics (WHO), treaty texts, Security Council records, Special Rapporteur field reports

We do not use them for

UNGA resolutions on Israel (documented political bias; member states vote by bloc politics, not evidence), UNHRC reports on Israel (membership includes human rights violators who vote as a bloc)

Raw field data and humanitarian statistics are distinct from politically filtered resolutions. The UN's data collection arms produce primary data; its political bodies reflect member state interests. We use the former and treat the latter as political documents, not evidence. See our full UN analysis →

Wikipedia

Crowd-sourced encyclopedia

Credible with caveats

We use it for

Uncontested biographies, historical timelines, scientific consensus topics, links to primary sources, verified factual summaries with cited sources

We do not use it for

Definitions and framings that have been ideologically captured — including "genocide," "settler colonialism," "gender identity," and contested political events where Wikipedia's editorial community skews left and edits reflect that

Wikipedia is a useful starting point and aggregator of sourced facts. It is not a reliable authority on contested definitions, and its editorial community has documented systematic biases on politically contested topics. We treat it as a pointer to primary sources, not as a primary source itself.

Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PCPSR)

Palestinian public opinion research

Credible

We use it for

Palestinian public opinion polling — what Palestinians themselves believe about the conflict, Hamas, October 7, and related topics

Not applicable for

Israeli public opinion, regional geopolitics outside Palestinian territories

Led by Dr. Khalil Shikaki. Follows international polling standards with documented methodology. Its results are difficult to dismiss as Western or Israeli bias — the organization is Palestinian, polling Palestinians, for a Palestinian audience. When PCPSR data is unflattering to the Palestinian cause (e.g., 72% support for the October 7 attack in December 2023), it is among the most credible possible sources for that fact.

Government Records & Official Documents

Primary source documents

Credible (primary)

We use them for

Hansard records, Congressional testimony, court judgments, treaty texts, military communiqués, national statistics bureaus, historical archive documents (Nuremberg transcripts, British War Cabinet minutes, etc.)

We note context for

Government statements on contested foreign policy (these reflect the issuing government's interests); national statistics from authoritarian governments (Hamas-controlled Gaza Health Ministry figures, Iranian state statistics)

Primary documents — the actual treaty text, the actual transcript, the actual archived memo — are the gold standard. When the document is publicly available, we link directly to it rather than citing a journalist's summary of it.

Peer-Reviewed Academic Research

Journals, university presses

Credible

We use it for

Demography, genocide studies, comparative political science, military ethics, historical analysis — any claim where the scholarly consensus matters

We distinguish

Single studies vs. consensus of the literature; ideologically homogeneous fields (some gender studies, critical theory) vs. empirical disciplines with replication standards

Peer review is not a guarantee of correctness, but it subjects claims to expert challenge before publication. We note when a claim rests on one study vs. an established literature consensus.

Colonel Richard Kemp CBE

Retired British Army, UN expert witness on IDF conduct

Credible expert

We use him for

IDF conduct assessments, military proportionality law, Hamas human shield doctrine, the genocide claim, comparative military ethics

Why he's credible

Commanded British forces in Afghanistan and other combat zones; testified at the UN; British — no partisan stake; direct operational experience with the decisions being debated

Read the full credibility profile →

Non-Credible Sources

Documented reliability problems

These sources are routinely cited by people spreading misinformation. Each has a documented credibility problem — structural bias, lack of credentials, or a record of claims that don't withstand scrutiny. Knowing who cites them, and why, is part of evaluating any argument that relies on them.